|
|
General Elections 2000 results statistically predicted*
| |
PA 1994
General Elections |
PA 1999
Provincial |
PA 2000
Prediction |
UNP 1994
General Elections |
UNP 1999
Provincial |
UNP 2000
Prediction |
PA prediction
% |
UNP prediction
% |
| Western Province |
1250426
|
888454
|
816060
|
981846
|
879388
|
858896
|
37.8%
|
39.8%
|
| Colombo |
469642
|
313579
|
282363
|
385100
|
362636
|
358142
|
33.1%
|
42%
|
| Gampaha |
509030
|
376176
|
349605
|
375631
|
317698
|
306112
|
44.9%
|
39.3%
|
| Central Province |
468021
|
421629
|
412351
|
577423
|
391659
|
354506
|
38.6%
|
33.2%
|
| Southern Province |
637249
|
461959
|
426901
|
440674
|
402550
|
394925
|
39.1%
|
36.2%
|
| Galle |
277956
|
214714
|
202066
|
203268
|
188921
|
186052
|
41.6%
|
38.2%
|
| Matara |
227285
|
157762
|
143857
|
142024
|
130843
|
128607
|
39.8%
|
35.6%
|
| Hambantota |
132008
|
89483
|
80978
|
95385
|
82786
|
80267
|
33.2%
|
32.9%
|
| North Central Prov. |
262892
|
231757
|
225503
|
218790
|
171307
|
161810
|
48.3%
|
34.7%
|
| Uva Province |
224501
|
190105
|
183225
|
249884
|
186293
|
173575
|
43.3%
|
41%
|
| Sabaragamuva Prov. |
424379
|
356543
|
342976
|
424688
|
334415
|
316360
|
43%
|
39.6%
|
| Wayamba Province |
517461
|
566153
|
575891
|
460218
|
379768
|
363678
|
52.2%
|
33%
|
| Total |
|
41.1%
|
37.4%
|
| Other parties |
|
21.5%
|
The statistically simulated voting pattern has not taken the following
conditions into consideration
- Sihala Urumaya and most other of the 46 parties did not contest in
earlier elections
- Voter turnout will be higher for this elections than last time
- The votes from North & East province has not been accounted for.
Other Predictions
| |
PA
|
UNP
|
Others
|
| The Sunday Times Predictions |
42.4%
|
47.3%
|
10.9%
|
| The Island Predictions |
45.6%
|
40%
|
13.2%
|
No
Clear Winners Expected in October Poll (One
World)
|
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